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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+6.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+8.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+8.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+4.35vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.38+3.82vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.16vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+2.90vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-0.46vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-0.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-3.12vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.90-2.15vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-7.09vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-4.75vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.33-7.71vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.29-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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10.47Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.9Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.13University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Heausler | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Megan Magill | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 25.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.