← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.52+0.60vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.95+2.12vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.73+0.27vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.73-0.73vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.53-2.56vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy1.38-3.22vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.23-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6Tufts University3.520.6%1st Place
-
4.12Northeastern University0.950.0%1st Place
-
3.27Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.27Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
2.44Brown University2.530.2%1st Place
-
3.78Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.79Middlebury College-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Evans | 57.6% | 29.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Brien | 3.2% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 24.1% | 42.1% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ansart | 10.6% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ansart | 10.6% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 22.5% | 32.3% | 28.1% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 5.8% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 29.4% | 28.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| James Pates | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 86.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.