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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+4.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+6.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+5.27vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+0.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.21+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.45+6.75vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.56-2.60vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.43+0.13vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.52+3.25vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+2.64vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.27vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.09+2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.18-3.98vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.38-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.38-6.54vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University0.19-7.03vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.24-2.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.40vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.71vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-2.43-1.55vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.7%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.5%1st Place
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9.47Western Washington University0.544.5%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.5%1st Place
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5.38University of Southern California1.4012.7%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University1.219.9%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Berkeley-0.451.8%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii1.5612.6%1st Place
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8.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Irvine0.433.4%1st Place
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14.25Arizona State University-0.521.6%1st Place
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14.64Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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13.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.9%1st Place
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16.22Arizona State University-1.091.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Washington0.182.6%1st Place
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13.45California State University Channel Islands-0.382.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Southern California0.383.6%1st Place
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10.97San Diego State University0.192.5%1st Place
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16.86San Diego State University-1.240.7%1st Place
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16.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
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19.29California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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20.45San Diego State University-2.430.4%1st Place
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19.35University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Trey Summers | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Liam Williams | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 23.1% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 38.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.