Race 5B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
reece schwartz 13.5% 11.9% 14.4% 12.2% 11.7% 10.6% 9.0% 8.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Cody Roe 25.0% 19.5% 17.9% 12.4% 9.8% 7.3% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Whidden 14.9% 18.1% 14.2% 13.4% 12.1% 10.1% 6.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Caeden Nodurft 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 4.7% 6.6% 7.9% 9.7% 10.3% 12.2% 12.3% 12.4% 8.4% 2.7%
Richard Pokorny 11.2% 11.8% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 9.6% 11.1% 9.9% 6.2% 3.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Tamsin Horne 3.2% 2.4% 3.7% 5.3% 4.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.4% 11.8% 14.5% 13.7% 13.8% 6.5%
Harrison Stevens 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 12.0% 14.8% 22.1% 16.4%
Robert Heath 1.9% 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.6% 6.1% 7.6% 10.9% 12.7% 14.9% 18.7% 9.1%
Leonardo Burnham 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 9.0% 8.7% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Grant Schmidt 6.8% 6.7% 6.5% 7.5% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 9.1% 10.4% 9.1% 8.0% 2.9% 1.4%
Leila Pfrang 8.5% 9.9% 9.9% 12.2% 10.0% 11.6% 10.8% 9.8% 7.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 2.1% 4.0% 3.2% 4.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 9.2% 11.3% 13.4% 13.3% 12.5% 5.1%
Griffin Jones 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.4% 8.8% 15.5% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.