Race 6B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Leonardo Burnham 6.4% 5.5% 7.3% 10.9% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 12.6% 7.4% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Thomas Whidden 15.6% 15.6% 15.6% 14.6% 11.0% 9.1% 7.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
reece schwartz 11.6% 14.6% 13.6% 12.4% 12.8% 10.2% 9.8% 6.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Cody Roe 25.5% 19.7% 16.8% 12.5% 9.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Richard Pokorny 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 12.0% 11.5% 10.2% 10.5% 8.8% 6.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 3.4% 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 5.0% 7.4% 8.1% 9.5% 13.0% 13.2% 13.6% 11.3% 3.3%
Caeden Nodurft 4.8% 3.9% 5.6% 5.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.9% 10.4% 11.7% 12.9% 12.2% 7.5% 3.0%
Harrison Stevens 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 2.7% 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 13.7% 13.6% 24.0% 14.9%
Grant Schmidt 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 10.7% 10.1% 11.9% 10.2% 9.5% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3%
Tamsin Horne 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 4.3% 3.4% 6.9% 6.5% 10.5% 10.6% 10.7% 16.2% 13.9% 7.4%
Leila Pfrang 8.9% 10.4% 9.4% 9.4% 11.8% 11.3% 11.1% 9.7% 7.9% 5.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Robert Heath 1.3% 2.7% 3.3% 2.1% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.5% 9.4% 12.3% 15.9% 17.9% 12.2%
Griffin Jones 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 2.8% 5.6% 8.4% 16.6% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.