← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.42+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.47+1.26vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.85+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University0.07+5.24vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.08-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.15+0.28vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-1.94vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+0.57vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.10-3.45vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.64-3.24vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College0.45-4.60vs Predicted
-
14Boston University-0.22-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
-
3.26Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
-
4.65Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
-
9.24Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
-
3.99Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
-
6.28University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.1%1st Place
-
8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.55Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
-
7.76Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
-
11.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.4Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
10.06Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Pfrang | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cody Roe | 25.0% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Heath | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 17.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Richard Pokorny | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tamsin Horne | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 5.3% |
| Grant Schmidt | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Griffin Jones | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 51.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Harrison Stevens | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 22.6% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.