Race 8B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Richard Pokorny 9.8% 12.6% 10.5% 12.1% 10.2% 12.7% 9.2% 8.8% 6.5% 4.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Thomas Whidden 17.0% 15.3% 14.8% 13.9% 12.2% 10.0% 5.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Grant Schmidt 4.3% 6.2% 8.5% 8.5% 9.5% 10.7% 10.7% 11.6% 10.0% 9.9% 6.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Harrison Stevens 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 8.0% 12.1% 16.3% 22.2% 16.4%
Leonardo Burnham 6.9% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 10.4% 11.1% 12.0% 7.5% 4.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Leila Pfrang 8.4% 10.0% 10.4% 9.9% 11.1% 11.9% 10.9% 7.0% 7.9% 6.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Cody Roe 25.5% 20.9% 16.8% 11.2% 10.0% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
reece schwartz 13.2% 13.0% 13.7% 11.8% 13.7% 9.8% 10.6% 7.3% 3.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.8% 7.3% 10.4% 12.0% 14.1% 12.4% 12.3% 5.2%
Caeden Nodurft 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 4.5% 6.0% 8.8% 9.9% 11.1% 9.5% 12.6% 12.2% 8.2% 3.4%
Tamsin Horne 2.8% 1.9% 3.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 9.5% 12.1% 13.3% 12.8% 13.3% 6.0%
Griffin Jones 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 9.1% 15.7% 56.3%
Robert Heath 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.8% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 12.7% 16.1% 19.1% 10.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.