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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+2.36vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+3.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.22vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95-2.45vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-1.59+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+4.23vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+3.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.20-2.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-2.49+4.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.29+3.11vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-2.84+4.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-2.29-0.33vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-3.03+2.02vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-3.22+1.60vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.15-3.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.78-1.89vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.98-2.58vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.81-4.01vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.81-5.01vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-2.64-6.80vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-6.66vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-4.07-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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2.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.0%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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2.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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11.03University of Southern California-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Irvine-0.200.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at Berkeley-2.490.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.290.0%1st Place
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16.12San Diego State University-2.840.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Cruz-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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17.02Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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17.6Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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13.42California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.780.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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15.99University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.99University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Santa Cruz-2.640.0%1st Place
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16.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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20.25University of California at San Diego-4.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 15.8% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Priskich | 30.8% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mila Kane | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Shefer | 30.9% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theo Lopez | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Brennan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derick Phan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Anjali Venugopalan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Leo Leckey | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Goss | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Cheng | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Schnebelt | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.