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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95+1.57vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+3.09vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.20+1.70vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.84vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-2.15+6.15vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-1.59+2.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+1.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.29+3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-2.29+1.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.87+1.98vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.78+1.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.98+0.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-2.49-2.21vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.81-1.82vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-2.84-3.13vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-3.22-2.50vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.81-4.82vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-2.64-6.77vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-3.03-6.03vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-4.07-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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3.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.0%1st Place
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2.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Irvine-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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13.15California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
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11.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Southern California-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Santa Cruz-2.290.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Cruz-1.070.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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15.98University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.780.0%1st Place
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16.66University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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14.79University of California at Berkeley-2.490.0%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.87San Diego State University-2.840.0%1st Place
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17.5Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Santa Cruz-2.640.0%1st Place
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16.97Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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20.25University of California at San Diego-4.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Shefer | 29.4% | 25.6% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 16.9% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Priskich | 31.2% | 26.7% | 20.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Brennan | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mila Kane | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theo Lopez | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anjali Venugopalan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Goss | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Cheng | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Derick Phan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Leo Leckey | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Schnebelt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 42.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.