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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+7.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+7.56vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+2.52vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.54+5.17vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-1.23vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.21-0.27vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.43+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.45+3.78vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.38-1.61vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39+1.55vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.52+0.09vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.19-4.21vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.18-4.83vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.09-0.59vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-0.38-4.38vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.98+0.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.76vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.24-5.05vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-2.43-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.5%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.7%1st Place
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5.52University of Hawaii1.5611.8%1st Place
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9.17Western Washington University0.544.6%1st Place
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5.3University of Southern California1.4012.6%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.6%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University1.218.6%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.2%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Irvine0.434.7%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Berkeley-0.451.9%1st Place
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13.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.6%1st Place
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10.39University of Southern California0.383.9%1st Place
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14.55Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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14.09Arizona State University-0.521.4%1st Place
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10.79San Diego State University0.192.9%1st Place
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11.17University of Washington0.182.6%1st Place
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16.41Arizona State University-1.090.9%1st Place
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13.62California State University Channel Islands-0.381.8%1st Place
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19.49California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.7%1st Place
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19.24University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
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16.95San Diego State University-1.240.8%1st Place
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20.32San Diego State University-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Florence Duff | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Down | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.