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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95+1.56vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95+0.50vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.25vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.20-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+2.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.81+6.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.87+5.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.81+4.26vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-3.03+3.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.64+1.69vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-1.59-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-2.49-0.67vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California-2.29-2.39vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-6.58vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.22-1.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-3.21-2.32vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-2.29-6.82vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.78-5.76vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-2.84-6.67vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-4.07-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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2.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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3.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Cruz-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Irvine-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.26University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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15.26University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.96Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Cruz-2.640.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Southern California-1.590.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Berkeley-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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10.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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16.93Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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16.68University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Santa Cruz-2.290.0%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.780.0%1st Place
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15.33San Diego State University-2.840.0%1st Place
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19.2University of California at San Diego-4.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Shefer | 28.8% | 27.1% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Priskich | 31.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mila Kane | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 15.3% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Goss | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Brennan | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Theo Lopez | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derick Phan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Diana Vins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Anjali Venugopalan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Cheng | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Leo Leckey | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Schnebelt | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.