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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+3.88vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.31vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.95-1.50vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.20-0.55vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-1.59+1.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.64+4.28vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.78+3.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.81+2.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.29+0.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.65-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-2.49-1.45vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-3.03-0.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-2.06vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-4.07+0.70vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California-2.29-5.96vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-3.22-3.81vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.81-6.11vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-3.21-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.0%1st Place
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3.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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2.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.950.3%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Cruz-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Irvine-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Southern California-1.590.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Santa Cruz-2.640.0%1st Place
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14.58University of California at Los Angeles-2.780.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Santa Cruz-2.290.0%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Berkeley-2.490.0%1st Place
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15.53Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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14.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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18.7University of California at San Diego-4.070.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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16.19Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.98University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Shefer | 29.3% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 17.2% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Priskich | 29.4% | 26.1% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mila Kane | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Goss | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Brennan | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theo Lopez | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Cheng | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Anjali Venugopalan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derick Phan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Schnebelt | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Diana Vins | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.