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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+4.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.65+11.90vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+6.23vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College1.00+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.47+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.06vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.19+1.80vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+2.16vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.42-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-2.58vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.45+2.82vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79+3.29vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-4.80vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.84vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.46-8.92vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.87-4.71vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-4.19vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.22-1.31vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.96-3.35vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.88-1.88vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-3.21-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Berkeley-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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11.23University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.99Santa Barbara City College1.000.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at San Diego0.470.1%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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11.8San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.13California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.0%1st Place
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16.82San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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18.29Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Southern California0.460.1%1st Place
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14.29San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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19.69University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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18.65University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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21.12University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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21.94University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Grinkrug | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hasen | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loiselle | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Ziegler | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Erin Welker | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Tier | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 10.0% |
| Jundai Nishida | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 29.7% |
| Diana Vins | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.