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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.78vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.21+4.85vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+6.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.43+4.92vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-0.65vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.35vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-3.63vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+4.47vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.50vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.38+1.56vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.19-2.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.45-0.30vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.18-4.08vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09+0.16vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.52-2.67vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98+1.43vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.38-8.67vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.24-2.97vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-2.43-0.60vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.46vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.8%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University1.218.6%1st Place
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9.31Western Washington University0.544.6%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Irvine0.434.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Southern California1.4013.8%1st Place
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5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.2%1st Place
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8.55California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.5%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii1.5612.4%1st Place
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14.47Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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13.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.7%1st Place
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13.56California State University Channel Islands-0.382.2%1st Place
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10.94San Diego State University0.193.4%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Berkeley-0.451.6%1st Place
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10.92University of Washington0.183.5%1st Place
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16.16Arizona State University-1.090.9%1st Place
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14.33Arizona State University-0.521.1%1st Place
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19.43California State University Channel Islands-1.980.2%1st Place
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10.33University of Southern California0.383.7%1st Place
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17.03San Diego State University-1.240.8%1st Place
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20.4San Diego State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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16.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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19.39University of California at San Diego-2.050.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Down | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 37.7% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.