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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.95+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.20+3.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+3.27vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College1.34-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.48-2.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.71+3.16vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.33-1.52vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.64+5.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+3.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.05+5.22vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.93+3.58vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+3.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.70+0.40vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.93+0.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-4.54vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.87-2.65vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.70-4.75vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.11-3.80vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.60-2.45vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-4.55vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.96-3.37vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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3.68Santa Barbara City College1.340.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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10.16University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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14.09San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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16.22University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.58San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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16.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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15.35San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.25California State University Channel Islands-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Davis-2.110.0%1st Place
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18.55University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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17.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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19.63Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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18.32University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Law | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Andresen | 20.5% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.8% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| John Mayfield | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Brayden Money | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Soren Folgate | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Tony Gao | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Nate Powers | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 29.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.