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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.95+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.71+6.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.47vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+0.21vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.64+7.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+3.03vs Predicted
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10Santa Barbara City College-0.15-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.53+2.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+0.95vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.70+1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.05+1.85vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.64vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-0.80vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.93-1.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.60+0.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.70-4.87vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.11-3.94vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-3.56vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-3.72vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.93-7.68vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.96-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of Southern California0.950.2%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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10.16University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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6.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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14.1San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.8Santa Barbara City College-0.150.1%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.64California State University Channel Islands-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.85University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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16.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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15.2San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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18.37University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.13University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at Davis-2.110.0%1st Place
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17.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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18.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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15.32San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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19.74Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Law | 15.2% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 26.2% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Conor Kim | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| benjamin foox | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Soren Folgate | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| John Mayfield | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Nate Powers | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Tony Gao | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.