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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.38vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-1.64+11.87vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College1.34+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+2.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.42vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.95-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.71+0.92vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.93+4.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.53+1.31vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+3.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+3.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.93+0.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-3.93vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.96+2.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.70-3.77vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.80vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.11-4.34vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-5.21vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.60-4.28vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.87-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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13.87San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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3.75Santa Barbara City College1.340.2%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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6.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.95San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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16.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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17.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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19.03Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Davis-2.110.0%1st Place
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15.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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17.72University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.83San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.4% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Liam Andresen | 20.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Brayden Money | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| John Mayfield | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 29.9% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Tony Gao | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Nate Powers | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.