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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.29vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College1.34+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.95+1.46vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.71+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.51vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+5.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.70+2.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.53+1.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.93+0.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-3.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.17vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-1.18vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.11-3.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.41vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.96-2.40vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.60-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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3.54Santa Barbara City College1.340.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California0.950.2%1st Place
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6.06California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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9.07University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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14.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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13.83University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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14.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Davis-2.110.0%1st Place
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15.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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16.6Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 23.9% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Andresen | 19.3% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 15.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Brayden Money | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| John Mayfield | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| Tony Gao | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 28.3% |
| Nate Powers | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.