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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.76vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.21+3.74vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.56+1.24vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54+4.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.49vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.40-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+2.49vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+4.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.43-0.05vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-2.32vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+2.50vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.38+0.64vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.18-2.86vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.19-4.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.45-2.04vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.24-0.27vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98+1.33vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-2.43+1.45vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.07-0.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.51vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.09-5.61vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.52-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.2%1st Place
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5.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.6%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University1.218.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.5613.7%1st Place
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9.46Western Washington University0.544.7%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.4011.6%1st Place
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10.49University of Southern California0.383.5%1st Place
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13.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.7%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Irvine0.433.6%1st Place
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8.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.3%1st Place
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14.5Arizona State University-0.391.7%1st Place
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13.64California State University Channel Islands-0.381.5%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington0.182.4%1st Place
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10.77San Diego State University0.193.4%1st Place
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13.96University of California at Berkeley-0.451.7%1st Place
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16.73San Diego State University-1.240.9%1st Place
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19.33California State University Channel Islands-1.980.3%1st Place
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20.45San Diego State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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19.6University of California at San Diego-2.070.5%1st Place
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16.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.1%1st Place
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16.39Arizona State University-1.091.0%1st Place
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14.0Arizona State University-0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 11.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 20.8% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 37.5% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 24.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Down | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.