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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.45+6.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+0.89vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.41+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.68+1.01vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.70-0.31vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.84+1.34vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.46-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.31-2.51vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.00-2.07vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.51-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Rollins College-0.453.9%1st Place
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2.89Jacksonville University1.7029.2%1st Place
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4.73Rollins College0.4112.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Miami0.6811.4%1st Place
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4.69Jacksonville University0.7011.5%1st Place
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5.53Palm Beach Atlantic University0.368.6%1st Place
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8.34University of Florida-1.842.6%1st Place
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5.37Eckerd College0.448.7%1st Place
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7.57University of Central Florida-0.464.2%1st Place
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7.49University of South Florida-0.313.9%1st Place
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8.93Florida State University-1.002.4%1st Place
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9.85Embry-Riddle University-1.511.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Zi Burns | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
Patrick Igoe | 29.2% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Josh Becher | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Fiona Froelich | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Dawson Kohl | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Marco Distel | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.2% |
Carter Morin | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Julian Larsen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
Kallista Halatsis | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 22.8% |
Josh Rosen | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.