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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Zi Burns 3.9% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 11.5% 12.6% 12.9% 13.2% 7.2%
Patrick Igoe 29.2% 20.9% 17.9% 12.7% 9.4% 5.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 12.0% 12.8% 12.3% 12.6% 12.3% 11.3% 9.1% 7.8% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Josh Becher 11.4% 10.3% 12.2% 11.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.2% 7.8% 5.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Fiona Froelich 11.5% 13.4% 13.2% 12.0% 12.7% 12.0% 9.0% 7.3% 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Dawson Kohl 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 9.9% 11.5% 11.1% 11.2% 10.2% 8.0% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8%
Marco Distel 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.3% 8.2% 9.3% 13.2% 13.5% 15.8% 14.2%
Carter Morin 8.7% 10.8% 10.9% 12.2% 10.4% 10.3% 11.4% 9.0% 7.0% 5.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Julian Larsen 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 8.1% 9.0% 11.1% 12.5% 12.7% 12.3% 8.1%
Garrett Floerchinger 3.9% 5.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 8.1% 8.5% 11.5% 12.2% 14.1% 12.3% 6.3%
Kallista Halatsis 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 6.5% 8.0% 10.3% 14.0% 18.1% 22.8%
Josh Rosen 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 8.4% 12.1% 17.6% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.