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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+8.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+7.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+3.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39-0.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+0.51vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38+1.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+0.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-2.22vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-2.33vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.83-1.05vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.37-4.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.95vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-0.68vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-6.65vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.65vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.62-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.58Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.95College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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14.32Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 34.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.