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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+5.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+6.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+8.67vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+0.62vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+3.19vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+2.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+7.26vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.430.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.92vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.37-5.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-5.31vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.83-5.38vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.56-9.33vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.84-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.07Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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4.62Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.19Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.26Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.62College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 33.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.