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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+7.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+5.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.73+8.29vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+4.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+1.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+1.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+1.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-2.52vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-1.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.83-4.45vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.39-11.31vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-8.34vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.17Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.55College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.22Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| bella casaretto | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.6% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.