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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+8.71vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+2.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+5.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.03vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03+0.42vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.83-0.16vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-3.63vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.48-4.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-2.44vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.57+0.29vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.37-7.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.32Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.07Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.42Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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14.29Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 16.5% | 42.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.