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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+6.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+5.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+4.65vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+3.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+3.02vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.39-2.50vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.38-0.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-2.91vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-5.62vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.83-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-3.89vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.73-4.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.44vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.57-2.77vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.32-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.02Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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4.5Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.83Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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14.23Old Dominion University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 41.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.