Race 2A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hilton Kamps 11.6% 13.8% 13.4% 12.0% 12.0% 10.4% 9.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Fiona Froelich 12.6% 14.1% 12.1% 12.5% 12.3% 11.4% 8.5% 7.1% 5.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Patrick Igoe 28.2% 20.9% 16.8% 13.0% 8.1% 6.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Morin 9.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.6% 11.7% 11.3% 10.1% 10.3% 7.5% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0%
Josh Becher 11.9% 10.5% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 12.0% 10.8% 8.6% 5.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Julian Larsen 4.1% 4.2% 6.1% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 9.8% 11.6% 12.7% 12.0% 12.4% 7.0%
Zi Burns 3.3% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.5% 7.5% 8.5% 11.3% 12.0% 14.1% 12.2% 7.0%
Dawson Kohl 9.1% 9.8% 9.2% 11.5% 10.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 8.1% 5.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Marco Distel 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.8% 11.6% 15.6% 17.0% 14.5%
Josh Rosen 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 8.4% 10.3% 17.4% 40.9%
Garrett Floerchinger 4.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.8% 9.1% 10.4% 11.8% 13.4% 12.5% 7.3%
Kallista Halatsis 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.1% 7.3% 7.3% 10.5% 14.7% 19.4% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.