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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+7.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+4.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+1.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+5.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+2.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62+5.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+1.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48-0.23vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-0.56vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.83+0.79vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.38-2.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-2.66vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-1.84vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.64vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.37-8.51vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.71Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.44Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.79College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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8.42Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.21Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.