← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+3.80vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+5.76vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.37+5.52vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.82+2.44vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.32+3.48vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.29+2.67vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.62+4.41vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.30vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.48-1.17vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.43-1.69vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.03-1.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.84-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.71vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University2.38-6.00vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.81vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston1.83-5.33vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.13-7.57vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.81-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.76Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.52Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
6.44Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.48Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.67Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
11.41Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.83Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
8.31Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.88Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
12.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.0Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
12.19University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
10.67College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.43Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
14.19Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.