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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+5.77vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+2.70vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+6.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+3.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+2.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.48+0.83vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-0.02vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-0.52vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.38-1.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.66vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.83-1.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-1.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.93vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.84-5.38vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-7.11vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.5Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.92College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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11.24Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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14.17Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.9% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.