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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+6.25vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+5.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62+7.31vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+3.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56+1.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-0.54vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37+0.26vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-1.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.68vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-1.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.70vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-5.62vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.13-5.81vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-6.23vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.59vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.24Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.72College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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14.19Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.