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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+9.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.00vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+5.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+3.92vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+2.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56+1.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.56vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.64vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.39-8.60vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.83-3.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.05vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.30vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.81-3.43vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.03-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.0Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.56Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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4.4Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.57Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.4% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 32.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.