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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+5.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.49+7.95vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+7.17vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.82+4.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.15+2.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.49+6.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-0.49vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.36-2.76vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.63-0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80+1.52vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.68-2.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.84-4.86vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.59-4.97vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.13-7.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.11-1.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-4.97vs Predicted
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18Boston College0.45-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.13Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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14.69Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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13.47Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kate Danielson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Doble | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 32.1% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.