Race 3A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fiona Froelich 12.2% 13.7% 12.4% 13.2% 12.8% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Carter Morin 9.6% 11.2% 9.6% 11.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.9% 9.8% 7.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.5%
Hilton Kamps 10.8% 12.8% 12.2% 13.0% 12.5% 12.0% 9.8% 7.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Dawson Kohl 8.8% 9.6% 10.9% 10.1% 11.0% 12.0% 12.3% 9.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Julian Larsen 3.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.6% 9.3% 11.9% 12.8% 13.7% 12.0% 6.8%
Josh Becher 11.2% 11.5% 11.5% 12.6% 11.9% 11.7% 9.9% 7.3% 6.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Patrick Igoe 29.1% 21.2% 16.7% 12.3% 9.6% 5.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Marco Distel 2.9% 2.9% 5.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.4% 7.6% 10.4% 12.3% 14.1% 15.3% 13.7%
Garrett Floerchinger 4.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 7.9% 9.8% 10.2% 13.0% 13.3% 11.5% 7.3%
Josh Rosen 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.5% 7.1% 10.8% 17.8% 39.7%
Kallista Halatsis 2.4% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.3% 10.1% 14.1% 20.9% 21.6%
Zi Burns 3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.5% 8.2% 11.4% 13.1% 13.9% 13.1% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.