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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+2.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+0.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.33vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.64vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07-0.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85+1.72vs Predicted
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8American University2.24-0.29vs Predicted
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9William and Mary2.13-0.97vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.55+1.81vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.84-2.15vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-2.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.57-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.14-0.90vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.84-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.5Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.71American University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.03William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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11.81Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.85Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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9.58Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.68George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.76St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 13.6% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.6% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Edward Doran | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 30.1% | 19.9% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Tracey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 8.5% | 29.2% | 53.8% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 37.8% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.