← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.47+5.09vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.31+4.55vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.36+3.37vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.15+2.93vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.82+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.84+2.25vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.11+7.57vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+3.80vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.68-0.09vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.63-0.66vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.01-3.30vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.76vs Predicted
-
13Boston College0.45+0.42vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.49-4.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.80-2.64vs Predicted
-
16Yale University1.90-7.86vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.59-7.64vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania0.49-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.55Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.37Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.93Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.26Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.25Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
14.57Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
-
11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
8.91College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
-
9.34Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.7Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
13.42Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.37Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
-
12.36University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.14Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
9.36Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
-
13.34University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 32.6% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Marina Conde | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.