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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+5.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+6.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+3.22vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.47+1.65vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39+4.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+5.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.15-1.19vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.82-0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-2.31vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.63-1.98vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.68-2.93vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania0.49-1.04vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-5.61vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-2.48vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.14-2.50vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.11-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.02Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.52Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.33Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Doble | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Kate Danielson | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 28.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.