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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+7.54vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+3.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+3.40vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.15+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.49+8.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.13+1.12vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63+2.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.84+0.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-1.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49-0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80+1.50vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-5.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.28vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.68-5.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.19vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-2.32vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.39-6.77vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.11-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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7.12Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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13.68Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.23Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.48Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.