← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.13+6.51vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.68+7.32vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.59+6.68vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.63+1.48vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.47+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+4.04vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93+5.01vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.82+0.48vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.36-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.49+0.08vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.31-4.27vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.15-4.49vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.84-4.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania0.49-0.71vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.63-5.73vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.80-3.39vs Predicted
-
17Boston College0.45-3.16vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University0.12-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
9.32College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
-
9.68Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.48Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.99Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
8.48Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.32Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.08Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.73Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.51Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.27Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
13.29University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.27Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.61University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
-
13.84Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
14.59Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Kieding | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Doble | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 17.1% |
| Marina Conde | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.