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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+6.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.15+4.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.13+3.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.68+4.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+0.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.84+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.80+4.86vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.36-2.92vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.45+3.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.51vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.47-6.05vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.31-6.63vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.63-5.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.42vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.12-2.17vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.59-8.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.49-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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5.18Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.11Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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5.95Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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13.83Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.98Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% |
| Emily Doble | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Murphy | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 8.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 33.8% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.