← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.59+7.79vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+3.15vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.63+5.82vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.31+2.44vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.15+1.75vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.82+2.40vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.47-1.19vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.84-0.04vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.76vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.68-1.47vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.13-4.83vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.80-1.13vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.36-7.73vs Predicted
-
15Boston College0.45-1.94vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania0.49-3.20vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-5.54vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University0.12-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.79Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.15Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.82Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.44Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.75Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.4Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.81Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.96Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.53College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.17Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.87University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.27Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
13.06Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.8University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
-
11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.96Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriela Vassel | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% |
| Emily Doble | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.3% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.