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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+5.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+3.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.68+4.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82+2.66vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.36-0.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-1.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.84-1.66vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.63-1.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.63-8.09vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.80-3.07vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.49-3.06vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.59-7.84vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.12-3.96vs Predicted
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18Boston College0.45-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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4.91Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.13Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Doble | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samara Walshe | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 30.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.