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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+5.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+2.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+5.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.84+3.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.36-0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.80+3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.49+2.82vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.31-4.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.45+1.11vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.68-4.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.18vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.59-5.79vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.82-7.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.12-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.14Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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12.11Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Samara Walshe | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.