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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.68+7.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.16vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.82+5.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+5.55vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.49+7.56vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.59+3.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.13-0.04vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.15-1.25vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-2.53vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.58-4.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.84-2.85vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.36-5.90vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.63-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.80-2.08vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-3.11vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.11-3.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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9.18Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.37Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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12.89Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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13.94Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samara Walshe | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Doble | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 31.3% |
| Meara Conley | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.