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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.15+3.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+2.40vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.63+3.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.13+1.10vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.59+1.98vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.35vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.68-0.25vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.36-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.49+1.82vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-0.13vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.84-5.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.80-3.07vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.82-7.88vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.11-3.13vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.98Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.82University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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12.87Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.87Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samara Walshe | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Emily Doble | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| Maddie Janzen | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Gilda Dondona | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 31.0% |
| Meara Conley | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.