Race 4A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Igoe 29.9% 22.9% 17.2% 12.0% 8.0% 4.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 11.9% 13.8% 11.8% 13.4% 12.4% 12.0% 9.1% 7.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Josh Becher 10.0% 10.2% 12.8% 13.5% 12.1% 11.7% 9.9% 8.8% 7.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Carter Morin 9.8% 10.4% 12.2% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 10.4% 9.7% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Garrett Floerchinger 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 8.1% 8.0% 10.4% 13.0% 14.8% 14.1% 9.5% 2.8%
Dawson Kohl 9.7% 8.9% 11.1% 9.9% 11.7% 11.9% 10.7% 10.4% 8.2% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Julian Larsen 2.8% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 9.3% 10.8% 12.5% 14.1% 14.1% 10.6% 2.9%
Zi Burns 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 10.4% 10.7% 14.4% 15.8% 12.2% 3.1%
Fiona Froelich 13.7% 13.0% 12.4% 13.0% 13.7% 11.8% 8.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 9.6% 14.8% 31.5% 18.7%
Marco Distel 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 5.6% 6.7% 9.2% 10.5% 12.0% 18.4% 16.6% 5.1%
Olivia Figley 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 6.2% 13.7% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.