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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+0.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.33-0.12vs Predicted
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6William and Mary2.13+2.10vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85+1.77vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.07-2.50vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61+0.43vs Predicted
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10American University2.24-2.19vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.84-2.22vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.57-2.25vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-0.84+0.85vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.55-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.14-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.1William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.5Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.81American University2.240.0%1st Place
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8.78Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.85St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.75Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 19.7% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 17.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 10.2% | 38.1% | 40.5% |
| Edward Doran | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 32.5% | 17.7% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte Tracey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 31.2% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.