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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+5.02vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.63+5.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+1.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.36+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.59+2.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.82-0.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-4.28vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.68-2.27vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.84-3.75vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.45-0.22vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-0.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-5.44vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.12-2.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania0.49-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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11.78Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Samara Walshe | 16.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 27.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 25.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.