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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+1.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.87+2.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+5.11vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10+4.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.38+3.94vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57-0.24vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.79vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79-2.90vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-2.76vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.05-2.05vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.04vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.64-6.33vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.81Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.94Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.1Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.24Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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10.95North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.96Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.67Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 20.7% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Ava Farley | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 15.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 20.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.