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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+3.41vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57+3.88vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+5.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.87-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.13vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.05+1.06vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+1.02vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-2.72vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.64-4.46vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-7.66vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-6.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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4.07Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.06North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.28Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.54Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.34George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.16Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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12.09Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.3% |
| Ava Farley | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 23.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.