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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.79+6.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.38+9.95vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.45+6.23vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+0.15vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-0.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.87+0.83vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05+2.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.45vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.64-1.33vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-3.14vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-6.54vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.08-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.68vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.23Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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10.91North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.67Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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6.46George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 22.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 18.3% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% |
| Ava Farley | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lina Carper | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.