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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.92vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.09vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+3.54vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.87+3.90vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-0.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.31vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58+0.61vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.38+2.97vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.45-0.69vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.08+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.85vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.05-2.11vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.00vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-6.88vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.61Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.31Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.89North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.0Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.12Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 21.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Fear | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Lina Carper | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 21.3% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% |
| Alma Bewsher | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 21.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.