← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.06+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.06vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.05+7.98vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.60vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.79+3.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.57+2.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin-0.10+4.16vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.22-1.67vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.56-3.61vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University0.45-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Boston University-0.38+0.93vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.87-4.23vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-6.39vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.06vs Predicted
-
15Rollins College0.58-6.15vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University-0.08-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
-
6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
10.98North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.07Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.93University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.33George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
9.26Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.93Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.77Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
-
6.61U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
11.94Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.85Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
-
11.16Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 22.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% |
| Lina Carper | 4.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 23.9% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Ava Farley | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 21.2% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.