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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.99vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+7.14vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10+7.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.16vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+5.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.56-1.47vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.87-0.37vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.64-0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.60vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-3.93vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-5.27vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.05-3.87vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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9.14Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.49George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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11.08Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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8.49Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.07Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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12.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.13North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.15Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 19.3% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Ava Farley | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 21.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.